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I really need some help - why might share prices initially drop after an announcement of increased profits? And then quite sharply rise?
Thank you!!
No best answer has yet been selected by zipadeedodah. Once a best answer has been selected, it will be shown here.
For more on marking an answer as the "Best Answer", please visit our FAQ.It i sas pad444 says. The markets (particularly in the USA) have an enormous number of 'experts' who predict what will happen, based on teams of researchers and industry knowledge. They go into some quite staggering detail (I have seen research that predicts the manufacturer and sales of cars in every industrialised country in the world over the next 10 years, and the predicted financials).
These experts then tell their clients the news, and release it publically later. The share price usually reacts to that public news, so the initial investors are the first to benefit (sell if low profits, buy if high to put it simplistically and ignoring other potential trades).
Therefore if experts predict a 20% rise in net profits, or a 14% rise in revenue, or pretty much any other indicator (investment decisions etc) and it is lower, the market will correct the original over confidence.
Some companies refuse to play, and don't give out info to experts, some are absolutely beholden to them. The better the track record of the expert, the more investors trust them and the more likely a big drop in share price if the expert over estimates profits.
Stick your money in the Building Society.