This is something of an imponderable as there are lots of conceivable variables and much even depends on to what extent the render dries out in the first days. This probably depends mostly on your efforts. It is a common fallacy to think that rapid drying is beneficial, it is not. Due to the nature of the chemical reaction involved, keeping any cementitious mass moist for at least three, if not seven, days after the mix being produced is something that really benefits ultimate strength. In the case of render, final adhesion improves through the same thing. After the render has thoroughly set (18-24 hours would ensure this), gently spray the entire surface with water and keep doing that repeatedly at the slightest sign of the surface drying out.
Unless the work is seriously substandard and/or the render dries out very rapidly, I would not expect the coating to come of as early as within a year or two. Lots of render is applied without a bonding coat being applied first and still provides perfectly acceptable service. Even with a good mix applied before it loses its best promise, the worst combination is application onto a bone dry substrate followed by very rapid drying - the render shrinks (loss of bond), fails to reach full strength, cracks and the coating is compromised.