Who The Hell Will Win The Next Election

[black_cat51]

I know there are people who will jsut vote how they always vote, but i honestly can't see ANY viable party for power
conservative = many people are extremely disillusioned with their policies
Lib dem = their supporters are disappointed at all the concesions they've had to make on their policies because they are in a coalition
labour = seriously, would anyone vote for ed milliband to run the country
Ukip = i am not sure that enough people would support their right wing policies

honestly, who do you think will win?
It looks like another coalition to me

[emmie]

would you rather have seen it face financial ruination then, funny that

[mikey4444]

blackcat. At present UKIP have no seats at Westminster at all. Not one. Not even a little one. The Greens have 100% more MPs than UKIP. So with 12 months to go, what chance have UKIP got to be in a position for a coalition with the Tories ?

Bear in mind that in the 2010 election, the Tories won 210 seats. I am very interested to know how you think UKIP will get the dozens of seats needed in order to be in a position to call the tune. Bear in mind that the Bookies are not known for being sentimental about anything. Most of them are giving odds of at least 100 to 1 on Mrs Farage measuring up for new curtains at No. 10 next year.

Also bear in mind that there is no such thing as a poor bookie.

[jeffa]

As you said, that was then and this is now. As with the lend lease, that debt has been repaid in full. There's no need for Scotland to stand cap in hand before Westminster any more.

[jeffa]

It would surprise me not one jot if UKIP won a seat in the next election. Any country stupid enough to elect Nick Griffin as an MEP is pretty much capable of anything.

[emmie]

you do better than the English, as i recall, you don't have prescription charges, uni fees, and sundry other bunces, will you still get those on independence, and by the way, let's hope its the real deal, no going cap in hand to Westminster, separate armed forces, how is all this going to be paid for, no sharing ours, bonkers just plain bonkers.

[emmie]

what has lend lease got to do with this.

[jeffa]

"you do better than the English"

To whom are you referring by "you"?

[emmie]

anyone stupid enough to not see what a bloated, self satisfied lump of lard that Alex Salmond is should not be talking about who elected Nick Griffin.
i wouldn't have time for either of them, before you say

[emmie]

i am assuming from your stance you are Scottish, are you not?

[jeffa]

No.

[emmie]

so why would you want Scottish independence, and all this talk of going cap in hand to Westminster, how does it affect you.

[mikey4444]

I have posted the following link before here on AB. Emmie reckons that a Lab/LibDem coalition to be more likely. She may be right of course, but it doesn't appear to be on the cards according to Electoral Calculus ::::

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

The problem with a Lab/LibDem pact is just what are the LibDems going to bargain with ? According to the above link, they could end up losing nearly 2 thirds of their existing seats next year. They appear, to all intents and purposes, to be dead in the water.

[jeffa]

I think Scotland has just much right to want to be independent as any other country. As for how it would affect me, I doubt it would very much.

[emmie]

it wouldn't be what i want, not in a million years and you know it, but not sure that the coalition that is currently in power will retain their hold come 2015

[jeffa]

That seems about right to me, mikey. The Liberal Democrats really are a negligible party now.

[emmie]

but its not as though it will gain over much, independence what does it actually mean, having their own tax system, separate armed forces, separate banking system, different currency, member of the EU, having total control over their own finances, because when you look at the nitty gritty i am not sure that is remotely feasible, nor desirable,

[emmie]

its over a year away, so anything can happen

[mikey4444]

The SNP, not UKIP could be the wild card in 2015. If the Scots do vote for independence, I am not sure how long it would take for the arrangements to be made for them to leave the UK. But without the solid Labour vote coming from north of the border, we could indeed be facing perpetual Tory rule.

[jeffa]

"But without the solid Labour vote coming from north of the border, we could indeed be facing perpetual Tory rule."

That is mathematical nonsense, mikey.