Newark

[Farriercm]

Who will win this election on the fifth of June,at Newark?, and please Mikey, will you stop winding up and Tormenting, Twisted, Tory.= = =T T T.

[VHG]

I don't think anyone knows.

Is that not why we have the election, because nobody knows?

[Fibonacci]

Survation Poll on the Newark by-election can be found here

http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2014/05/29/the-first-newark-by-election-opinion-poll-is-out/

[naomi24]

According to this poll, the Conservatives will win.

http://www.nottinghampost.com/Newark-election-poll-Conservatives-track-win/story-21165000-detail/story.html

Mikey likes polls.

[ichkeria]

I'd suggest that if UKIP cannot win here then the so-called political earthquake may be stilled.
Their candidate is a real oddity: looks like a character from Jeeves and Wooster. And seems to have views to match. You'd think they'd have put up a more convincing one, as there won't be too many more by-election chances for them.

[kvalidir]

Yes he thinks gay people ought to be 'cured' by medical staff. Up to their usual standard of member.

[mikey4444]

Well, the Tories should win, if the result in 2010 is anything to go by. They are defending quite a big majority, although their previous incumbent had to resign in disgrace. Most interesting by-election for years !

[youngmafbog]

kvalidir, have you ever stopped to think that outside your right-on world people may actually agree with him?

Not sure it will be that interesting.

//Tormenting, Twisted, Tory.= = =T T T. //

I wonder if TTT or I had put this about a lefty if we would have been banned?

[Gromit]

1. Conservative
2. UKiP
3. Labour
4. Green
5. LibDem

A bad day for everyone except UKiP.
The Conservative's huge majority will be slashed but they will hold on to the seat.
UKiP will be second but a couple of thou short of winning.
Labour will be third and the LibDems will lose their deposit.

[ToraToraTora]

oh looks like the lonely brain cell has awoken! Yes YMB, I'd be on the naughty step for a stunt like this!

[AB Editor]

"I wonder if TTT or I had put this about a lefty if we would have been banned?"

Not likely. Only the middle T is unfair I reckon? :)

[ToraToraTora]

Well fair enough Ed, If I'm pressing buttone enough to get a specific mention in the OP then I guess I'll take that as a compliment.

[AB Editor]

That's what I think TTT, it is undeniable that you like to "stoke the fire of debate" - even if "stoke" usually actually means pouring some petrol on :)

I might have removed it if it wasn't one the regulars being mentioned, or someone who doesn't engage in the robust end of the debate.

I think Gromit has probably called the order - it'll be another sad day for the LibDems.

[Gromit]

You sound like a very tolerant ABEd. Tora has been banned for less in the past, Are you familiar with his timeline?


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[AB Editor]

This is where I would put my vote to be safe, in Newark:

http://www.loonyparty.com/2119/3698/nick-the-flying-brick-election-address/

Address by Nick the Flying Brick, Shadow Minister for the Abolition of Gravity

[AB Editor]

A different context Gromit.

[Gromit]

Maybe. Or R1G is mellowing with age.

[ichkeria]

The big problem - one of many - faced by UKIP is that the 'populist' views of many of its members are repulsive to the majority. They will hit a ceiling beyond which it is impossible for them to progress. I suspect that ceiling has already been reached. The recoil when it happens might be quite spectacular

[ichkeria]

I think Gromit's prediction is likely to be accurate but that really should be seen as good for the Tories and Greens - and maybe UKIP if they only lose by a handful. Even Labour might not be that depressed as they were miles behind at the last election anyway.

[youngmafbog]

I didnt have him down for that many Gromit, but I think you missed loosehead (another rugby psoition as per titehead).

[mikey4444]

Gromit...have I got you right, in your post of 11.12 today ? Are all those IDs and TTT the same person ? If so, how can you know, or have I got the wrong end of the stick here altogether ?