Ebola Confirmed In Glasgow

[hc4361]

That's a shocker.

[anotheoldgit]

jim360

/// If the total number of cases in the UK reaches double figures I'll be surprised. ///

Well that is most reassuring jim, perhaps we can all now sleep soundly in our beds, that is until you become surprised of course.

[jim360]

Be reassured by the failure of Ebola to spread anywhere beyond the three main countries, AOG, which is what my surprise is based on. Empirically, there is no reason to expect Ebola to catch on in the UK at any scale beyond a handful. If countries act quickly enough then the disease is not a threat, as has been demonstrated in the USA, Spain, ,Senegal, Mali and Nigeria.

[Sqad]

Jim....I agree with "almost " all you say and your reasoning cannot be faulted.....BUT

\\\ If the total number of cases in the UK reaches double figures I'll be surprised.\\\\

if that happened, my concern would change to.....anxiety.

[boxtops]

I was listening to this on the BBC news earlier. There were 50 NHS workers on the planes coming home, all from the Ebola zone, and all were given kits to monitor their body temperatures etc during the incubation period. They know who they all are and are monitoring them. Let's not panic.

[jim360]

Thanks Sqad for the back-up. I'd probably draw the line of anxiety as somewhere closer to 50 or so, but it's rather arbitrary. Basically if the number of new cases rises continually for a few weeks, even if that rise is just one or two a day, I'd be quite anxious. A far more likely scenario though is that one or two cases are tracked down, isolated, and the disease never spreads beyond patient(s) zero.

[Sqad]

jim ;-)

[boxtops]

She's in the Royal Free in London now, anyway, in isolation.

[solvitquick]

jim360,
I think I get your gist if you are talking about critical mass.
My concern is about the protective suits used by helpers. They seem to be unfit for the purpose or being used wrongly.
One hopes that it is burning itself out, as your proposed plateauing is not due to anti-sera or drugs being used en masse.
I certainly favour a form of civilised quarantine for those who are potential carriers.
SIQ,