News1 min ago
If Labour Lose...
The election - what next?
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No best answer has yet been selected by Ric.ror. Once a best answer has been selected, it will be shown here.
For more on marking an answer as the "Best Answer", please visit our FAQ.Nah. I'll take you through it:
He calls for mass co-ordinated protests.
He says it is called direct action.
He then says it used to be called "insurrection", and says it should be called that again.
It's just stupid foot-stomping politics you always get at events like that. I don't find it alarming.
He calls for mass co-ordinated protests.
He says it is called direct action.
He then says it used to be called "insurrection", and says it should be called that again.
It's just stupid foot-stomping politics you always get at events like that. I don't find it alarming.
Ric.ror, I’m guessing most people here who are tapping away at their keyboards live a reasonable lifestyle. I see no sense whatsoever in insurrection and no reason that it should be a consideration. People like McDonald – and the old hippie, Corbyn - and those who support that mindset are floundering in an impossible and unworkable idealism that is long dead. If it had any chance of working it would have worked somewhere before now ... but it hasn't worked ...anywhere.
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Depends on the scale of the loss:
1. Less than, say, 150 seats: Corbyn goes, ten years or more of Labour in the wilderness, and perhaps eventually they'll work out how to get elected again without also being basically just Tories.
2. Something not much less than what they have now: Corbyn stays, on the (perhaps reasonable) grounds that Labour picked up more votes overall than in 2015 (or even 2010), so that he does have popular support and a platform to build on finally. However the small losses mean that the PLP still doesn't believe Corbyn is electable, and divisions last for years to come.
3. Labour increase the number of seats they own without stopping a Tory Majority: Corbyn stays, and can claim reasonably that he's electable even despite the loss, having had too much ground to make up in terms of seats but still increasing the vote share massively. MPs fall in line and all then depends on whether the electorate want to punish May for delivering a "bad" deal, or reward her for a triumphant return from negotiations.
1. Less than, say, 150 seats: Corbyn goes, ten years or more of Labour in the wilderness, and perhaps eventually they'll work out how to get elected again without also being basically just Tories.
2. Something not much less than what they have now: Corbyn stays, on the (perhaps reasonable) grounds that Labour picked up more votes overall than in 2015 (or even 2010), so that he does have popular support and a platform to build on finally. However the small losses mean that the PLP still doesn't believe Corbyn is electable, and divisions last for years to come.
3. Labour increase the number of seats they own without stopping a Tory Majority: Corbyn stays, and can claim reasonably that he's electable even despite the loss, having had too much ground to make up in terms of seats but still increasing the vote share massively. MPs fall in line and all then depends on whether the electorate want to punish May for delivering a "bad" deal, or reward her for a triumphant return from negotiations.
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Obviously option 4 is that Labour win somehow (well, option 4a is that Labour stop a Tory Majority and 4b is that they win outright) ... I'd hesitate to put figures on all this but if I had to guess I'd say that Option 1, ie de facto annihilation, is very unlikely, Option 4(a and b) ditto. I think it takes some effort -- or perhaps favourable results in Scotland -- for Labour to make any overall gains.
So yeah, Option 2, which is a virtual status quo, seems the most likely to me. Maybe Labour limiting their losses to 20 seats or so.
So yeah, Option 2, which is a virtual status quo, seems the most likely to me. Maybe Labour limiting their losses to 20 seats or so.