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Predictions Invited For The Vote

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ichkeria | 09:10 Tue 15th Jan 2019 | News
33 Answers
The worst case scenario (or the best depending on your point of view) seems to be 423-198

Or will we see a comeback by the PM of the type almost pulled off by Andy Murray yesterday?
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Lose by 100 - 150 votes.
legislature 1, executive 0.
Mrs May said yesterday that if parliament doesn't support her 'deal', a 'No Brexit' is likely - so either way the result will be a stitch up and the winners will be the losers. Who'd a guessed?
can't see the Brino deal passing at all.
Despite the turncoat actions of some, who say t is someone's right to abandon their principles and describe the anti-Brexit as a good deal Brexit (how can they keep a straight face ?) the vote will be to reject the deal.

There will be the usual uproar by those who prefer the people's decision to be overruled. Some wanting to know what the next plan is immediately despite knowing the only way forward left.

It's possible Corbyn may be foolish enough to try to hold and lose a vote of no confidence in the government.

May will most likely carry on, but just might realise that the game is up, and go Cameron style.
Mrs May said a lot of nonsense yesterday, and before, trying to get her anti-Brexit deal passed. Got to give her credit for trying, if not for sticking up for the people and their decision.
I wonder if it's going to end up closer than predicted. Still a loss, but not a record-breaking one.
09.27, I hope for what Naomi says "No Brexit is Likely" think Naomi has got the hang of this thread.
I honestly have no idea!
She'll lose the vote. After that gawd knows.

She should never have delayed it in the first place. It just wasted another month.
09.49. OG "It's possible Corbyn may be foolish enough to call a vote of no confidence in the government" of course he will . If the boot was on the other foot the Con men would do the same it's called politics OG.
//of course he will //

but he doesn't have anywhere near enough support to make it stick - neither the Tory rebels, nor the DUP are going to vote themselves out of office over this. if Mr Corbyn was sure of winning such a vote, he'd have called it in December, instead of the meaningless vote that he did eventually call.
bang on mush, Agent Cob and LayBore have been banging on about a GE for months like a broken record. Ain't gonna happen.
I think most Labour supporters know this -- Corbyn has been dealt a superb hand but has wasted it by chasing a General Election that he cannot possibly get. Most frustrating.
I have no idea what is going to happen. Doubt she will win it though.
Paddy Power has the following odds at the moment:
1/100 for deal to be rejected
20/1 for deal to be approved.

Bookies seem pretty sure which way it will go.
It's really only the size of defeat that is up for grabs.
//Corbyn has been dealt a superb hand but has wasted it //

time and again he's been dealt a winning hand but then just sat on his hands. he had the opportunity last week in wakefield to enthuse the electorate and rally them to his cause. instead he droned out the same old "system is broken" drivel that excites nobody, except perhaps Diane Abbott......
The numbers just don't stack up for May. Even if all the Tories voted in favour (and they won't) the combined opposition has a majority. The only thing that can save her is if Labour rebels flock to her cause - highly unlikely.
Watching further debate live.Judging by the mood in the house she is going to get trounced.

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