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Can Somebody Brief Me As To Why There Will Be A Fuel Shortage?

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DTCwordfan | 12:55 Mon 19th Aug 2019 | News
28 Answers
Other than our own production, our crude oil comes from in descend order of volume

Norway
Nigeria
Algeria
USA
Russia
Libya
Saudi Arabia

The EU countries (80% of which The Neths and Denmark)account for less than 2% of our imports.

So why the hoohah about fuel shortages as nothing much should change in the current system as to imports of crude?



When it comes to products, we net import about 10 percent of our product requirements. However, the the UK refined product balances show a surplus of gasoline and fuel oil
and a deficit of diesel and jet. Demand for gasoline and for fuel oil are predicted to continue to fall, while demand for diesel and jet are predicted to continue to rise. As a result these
imbalances are expected to grow.

This has been known for some time but the imports involved could be and are being managed outside the EU as their refineries are out of balance as well when it comes to products - so, there has been an increasing call on US and M-Eastern products, esp. for diesel and aviation fuel (middle distillates). Again, we import very little from the EU

So again why any shortages? I would accept that, from a national strategic defence argument, that in the medium term the UK refining industry needs to restructure to demand - and this will require investment and a favourable environment for this to happen - wake up Government!

Gas - overtly that's more serious (current imports overall are 56% of needs) if the winter is cold if the EU pipeline system is interfered with - However, EU pipelines only account for just under 10% of our imports and are the Dutch and Belgians really going to pull back on Russian exports. If we were to lift our imports of liquid natural gas by 50%, we would be largely covered. Fyi most gas imports comes in from Norway.

My conclusion, these fuel shortages are all blah from the remainers, even if I have strong sympathy for their position. Be realistic and 'remain calm' when it comes to our fuels, folk...

Any counter-logic to this above?

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//So what (and where) is the Johnson administration's view of the impact of a No Deal Brexit on the fuel supply? Presumably they have one. ...//

It's probably the same as mine: life will go n and soon settle down after a week or two of political bluster and huffing and puffing.
Michael Gove and co claim the document dates from a time when previous minsters were trying to thwart no deal preparations, allegedly. And that since then millions have been pumped (so to speak) into making everything ok.
And furthermore that those same ministers are the ones doing the leaking.
It shows if nothing else that this is party at civil war with itself.
Many of the proposed issues from Brexit dont stand up under decent level of scrutiny. A scholarly piece of work DTC, many items will still be on the shelves and as, far as I`m concerned, not having a few items till a new supplier is found is a small price to dump the EU despots.
ich//And furthermore that those same ministers are the ones doing the leaking. //
It is worth noting that when Hammond was asked about the leak his reply was "no comment".My money would be on him as the source of the leak.
//...as, far as I`m concerned, not having a few items till a new supplier is found is a small price to dump the EU despots.//

Indeed CaC. No pain, no gain. And there's an awful lot to to gain from a complete and proper Brexit. There has been far too much talk of Mrs May's "deal" being acceptable apart from the Irish backstop. It isn't - far from it. It contains all manner of restrictions which would stymie the UK's activities in all sorts of areas and would make a mockery of our "withdrawal".
More project fear on steroids. Hope they have stocked up on them because they will be in short supply when the drugs don't work because of Brexit.

Did you know that the organ Hammond and Gieveous bodily harm both have French Mothers? Not really Brits then are they? Half cheese eating surrender monk keys.
Ohh...and they both have homes in France. Go Figure.
Go Figure.

No need to figure, treacherous pair of skunks.

Anyhoo, yet more project fear botox imo.

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