// But I'd love it if that were true, as then it would not be nearly so deadly.// Jim
yes apologies for ridiculing the Trumpists ( ya gonna be in Church by Easter and it all gonna way)
this is the view of the Oxford School [david spiegelhalter]- rather than Imperial College ( 'youre all doomed; Zhukov et al )
Oxford says the infection rate is up to Herd immunity levels 60% and there fore it will tail off
and not only that - but no one is dying who wouldnt have -
that is 100 = = 35y 50 y olds were dying from covid 19 - this week then you would expect 100 deaths in that cohort so there are no excess deaths
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000gwy8
others have said that there are assumptions unwarranted in the argument and it is invalid .....
North Manchester A+E up t road - is reputed to be like Kano's ( a ref to Fred Kano's circus 1910 ! I think) which it usually isnt