T W A U ... The Chase....today's...
Film, Media & TV0 min ago
Lockdown Lunacy.
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Fact: preceding a point with the word "fact" doesn't make something a fact.
I'd be more inclined to take this seriously if the information weren't presented so aggressively. I also seriously dispute any assertion that the IFR for Covid-19 is the same as seasonal flu, which the excess mortality figures would rather serve to undermine given that they seriously outnumber flu deaths.
I'd be more inclined to take this seriously if the information weren't presented so aggressively. I also seriously dispute any assertion that the IFR for Covid-19 is the same as seasonal flu, which the excess mortality figures would rather serve to undermine given that they seriously outnumber flu deaths.
It is, perhaps, worth pointing out that, in a cunning and probably deliberate sleight-of-hand, the article compares the IFR of Covid-19, which does indeed look like it's in the region of 0.1-0.5%, with the CFR of flu, which is around 0.1%. These are different measures and cannot and should not be compared, and it is deliberately dishonest of the authors of the article to do so. A typical flu is responsible for about 200,000-650,000 deaths annually, where crucially this figure is obtained from estimates after the fact by looking at excess mortalities; Covid-19 has already accounted for about 400,000 deaths even *before* the full excess mortality rates have been collated and estimated. A typical flu season has an estimated IFR of around 0.02%*, which is ten times lower than the estimates given in your source.
Any article that argues that Covid-19 is no worse than flu is fundamentally broken from the start.
*Based on data from https:/
Any article that argues that Covid-19 is no worse than flu is fundamentally broken from the start.
*Based on data from https:/
A few other points:
The stuff abotu Farr's Law is interesting but doesn't stack up. For example the article uses data from Oregon but it's out-of-date, see:
https:/
This shows that there was a downwards trend in late April, but a second peak in May, and indeed there's evidence of a third bump coming in the data for early- to mid-June. Separately, as I have said elsewhere, a good fit for the NHS England Hospital deaths data is not a bell curve but something called a split Voigt distribution, with a long and drawn-out tail. Farr's Law was an interesting and pertinent observation for smallpox but cannot and should not be relied on.
I could continue to pick apart this article -- but, in short, it's misleading, and needlessly patronising, and just broken. There's a lot we don't yet understand about Covid-19, and I am not going to claim that there was no hint of panic in the global reaction. But articles like this don't help anything. The entire tone is also troublesome. Present the data and the evidence, and let them stand or fall on their own merits.
Oh, yes, and one final point: the author of the article advocates the idea that vaccines cause autism. He doesn't know what he's talking about.
The stuff abotu Farr's Law is interesting but doesn't stack up. For example the article uses data from Oregon but it's out-of-date, see:
https:/
This shows that there was a downwards trend in late April, but a second peak in May, and indeed there's evidence of a third bump coming in the data for early- to mid-June. Separately, as I have said elsewhere, a good fit for the NHS England Hospital deaths data is not a bell curve but something called a split Voigt distribution, with a long and drawn-out tail. Farr's Law was an interesting and pertinent observation for smallpox but cannot and should not be relied on.
I could continue to pick apart this article -- but, in short, it's misleading, and needlessly patronising, and just broken. There's a lot we don't yet understand about Covid-19, and I am not going to claim that there was no hint of panic in the global reaction. But articles like this don't help anything. The entire tone is also troublesome. Present the data and the evidence, and let them stand or fall on their own merits.
Oh, yes, and one final point: the author of the article advocates the idea that vaccines cause autism. He doesn't know what he's talking about.
I'm puzzled as to why anyone with the ability to write an article and form an argument would choose to argue such a lost cause. Do they really believe it? Or do they think it will convince those who want to be convinced or have already convinced themselves. As jim has shown the lunacy is in trying to make a case for something when the case just doesn't stand up to any sort of scrutiny
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