Would It Be Prudent For The Conservatives To Call An Election Now, Knowing That Labour Would Win With A Big Majority?

[dave50]

Rather than wait till 2024 and risk a hung parliament with labour the biggest party going into coalition with the snap and libdems. This would include the nightmare of introducing proportional representation and votes for naive 16 year old. This would probably keep the tories out for a generation.

[Zacs-Master]

Prudent

definition: acting with or showing care and thought for the future.

Erm.......

[naomi24]

I wondered about that word too.

[dave50]

Sorry, I may have used the wrong word but my point is the same.

[Goofy]

You don't think majority in 2024 might be even larger?

[naomi24]

I’m not sure Labour would win with a big majority. I’m not sure they’d win at all.

[FatticusInch]

With 2023 forecast to be even worse economically they haven’t got a prayer, their sums don’t add up, the sensible ones know the outlook is bleak.
It’s just a stay of execution, nothing more.
They’re finished for a decade.

[davebro]

Labour can't win an outright majority - period.

[ichkeria]

So you want to avoid the Tories being out of power for a generation by holding an election now which you think will lead to a huge Labour majority - which would probably lead to the Tories being out of power for ...
Hmm
Realistically, we are heading for a Labour Lib Dem coalition whenever an election is held.
There will not be any alliance between Labour and the SNP - that much tho has been mace clear.

[ichkeria]

Kwarteng and Truss, but especially Kwarteng, have trashed whatever reputation remained to the Tories for economic responsibilty.
The Chancellor is probably doomed and quite probably the PM too
If the pound sinks to parity with the dollar he's finished.
If he ploughs on ... he's probably finished anyway.
The warbling about the "anti-growth coalition" is mind-boggling.
This reminds me of a ship in a tempest:
The newly elected captain and his first mate decide that now would be a good time for the passengers to learn to swim, moreover starting with the backstroke: ie: not a bad idea but hardly the time.
And to hell with the anti-backstroke coalition :-)

[FatticusInch]

davebro
//Labour can't win an outright majority - period.//

Indeed. It’ll be a landslide.
Look at the polls.
Look at what they’ve caused.
Look at all the economic forecasts.
Look at their record since 2019.

Doomed.

[Canary42]

No, it's too early in the cycle of taking lots away before a short pre-election burst of giving some of it back and boasting how well they treat us.

[William51]

The Tories will not hold an election yet because they will lose it. It is funny to watch a party self explode.

[Old_Geezer]

A better, more prudent step, would be to hold yet another leadership election and start winning back the losses made so far. I've very little faith that their present economic policies will be effective (whatever they are) but much more importantly the present leader is busy trying to sign us up to anything EU related, including political and military unions, has idiots apologising for their stance against the EU, failing to trigger Article 16, making no attempt to leave the ECHR, letting the ECJ permanently stick it's nose into NI matters, etc. etc. etc.. She's starting to look like a nuclear level catastrophe for both her party & the nation; and this is just her "honeymoon" period as she settles in. Replacing Truss may be a disastrously bad idea, but keeping her is presently looking incomparably worse. The party needs a better method for choosing a better candidate from those with their hat in the ring.

[tomus42]

The best hope they have of winning the next election is to ditch Truss ASAP and start to attempt repairing the damage.

With a sensible PM/chancellor in place there's a chance the electorate will have some confidence restored in two years time.

They haven't got a hope if they keep her in place and either call an election now or wait two years.