How Badly Could This Backfire?

[ToraToraTora]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-63742281
If the SNP campaign on a single issue surely they'll lose a lot of their current supporters. Not every single SNP voter wants "independence" so if she is making it clear that the election is a de facto referendum surely they'll vote for another party, probably the Lib non dems or even the greens as both Labour and the Tories seem to be universally disliked in Scotland. So she'll struggle to get 50% of the vote, even last election where they won most of the seats they only got 45% of the vote so I think it could go badly wrong.

[davebro]

Hopefully the Scots will have enough sense to send the SNP a clear message that they don't want to split from the UK (but I'm not holding my breath!).

[Hopkirk]

Even if it gets loads of support, the opposition can easily deny it is a referendum of sorts.

[perseverer]

Labour, with a more competent leader in Scotland than there has been recently, may well pick up more votes, if not necessarily seats. The Scottish LibDems are fairly invisible.

[Gromit]

Wishful thing by you TTT.
They have always been a single issue party.
At the last Westminster election the SNP’s primary policy was an independence vote. They ended up with double the number of MPs as the rest combined, + 11.
So it is exactly the right strategy for the SNP.

[Gromit]

MPs in Scotland:

44 SNP
6 Conservative
1 Labour
4 Lib Dem
2 Alba

Whatever the SNP are doing at Westminster elections, it proving very successful, getting 75% voteshare.

[perseverer]

45% Vote share.
(I don't often agree with the OP)

[Hopkirk]

Where did you get 75% from Gromit?

[Gromit]

Thanks for the correction.

The SNP got 75% seatshare with 45% of the votes.

[Old_Geezer]

No, I do not believe so. Her foolish independence aims will still get ignored by those who want a Scottish rather than a whole Britain party elected.

[Peter Pedant]

too early to tell

1911 there were three elections in a year and the third was over Lords' powers to block ( money bills)

1945 was really on, who is most likely to involve us in a war, Churchill or Attlee?

oh 1831-2 over reform
"never seen so many bad hats in all my life!" Duke of Wellington
" What all the wise men said would happen has not come to pass. "And what all the damned fools in the kingdom said would occurred has occurred" - someone else - Palmerston poss

[Peter Pedant]

Having such a large majority does not of itself lead to good govt
( chrissakes, the Bo Jo admin should have told you what)

[wolf63]

She is giving away voter's money to buy votes. Free prescriptions and free bus travel for certain age groups - and baby boxes for newborn babies.

This money could have helped pay to emergency services and the NHS.

[albaqwerty]

I'm sure she said something similar at the last general election.
They'd best be attending to matters they already have governance over and sorting them out.
They can't run a bath.

[bhg481]

Wolf - I wonder what will happen to those freebies if she gets independence and loses the English subsidy.

[Gromit]

wolf63

// Free prescriptions and free bus travel for certain age groups - and baby boxes for newborn babies. //

They are using their devolved powers to spend the Scotland budget how they like. The Conservatives could do the same in England, but aren’t really bothered about helping older and poorer people, so they don’t do it.

[perseverer]

Free bus travel in England and Wales last time I looked, (though more limited than in Scotland)
About 89% of prescriptions in England are dispensed free of charge

[wolf63]

bhg and gromit

The poorer people and the pensioners had free prescriptions. This way everybody gets free prescriptions - surely that is a bit of a waste of money.

I do not fully understand the funding that the Scottish govt gets that everybody moans about. This is my understanding ...
https://postimg.cc/MMrw92Vy

PS please don't try to explain it to me - my brother has a degree in Politics and he gave up trying to educate me on the matter.
☺

[Hopkirk]

In England (and probably Wales) you get free prescriptions from 60, in line with the previous women's pension age.

There have been mutterings to reset it to current retirement age though.

[THECORBYLOON]

In Scottish Parliamentary elections, folk can vote for constituency MSPs and Regional MSPs.

In the last election in 2021, 48.9% of those voting for Constituency MSPs voted for parties in favour of independence. In the vote for Regional MSPs, of those voting, 50.3% voted for parties in favour of independence.

[ynnafymmi]

Well,we will get our answer in 2035 at the next pretendy referendum,TCL.Every cloud,eh.I bet you cant wait.