ChatterBank7 mins ago
Labour 17,845 ---- Tories 1,192
Rutherglen & Hamilton By-election result.
Labour 17,845
SNP 8,399
Tories 1,192
Liberal Dems 895
Green 601
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For more on marking an answer as the "Best Answer", please visit our FAQ.As I commented above, Sir John Curtice estimates they would take 40 seats from the SNP on that swing. As I also said, though, how Labour does also depends on the extent to whixh people vote FOR them rather than against the SNP or the Tories. If people cast a vote to get rid of the Tories in England and Wales then that can benefit several other parties and in Scotland might even help the Tories in a few seats. I'm not sure in how many seats that would be a realistic possibility.
Trying to get some sense back into this thread it will be interesting to see how this pans out.
With such a low turnout one has to wonder if that would happen in a GE or will SNP members turn out for that? And those that did turn out to poke the SNP in the eye would they do that in a GE? It's one thing voting to show your disgust in a by-election, quite another in a GE. The pen will hover but where will it land.
I personally dont think the SNP are dead and gone just yet. If they get rid of the uselss leader and embark on a difernt tack-who knows what might happen.
The low turnout probably isn't relevant. The assumption that it was all SNP voters that stayed away seems a bit optimistic. I'd imagine Rutherglen rain soaks the voters of other parties just as much.
As in the rest of GB with the Tories the SNP have been in power a long while, so the feeling that a change is due may well outlast the by-election season
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