ChatterBank1 min ago
Have I Entered A Time Warp?
On 1st July the published number (cumulative) of Covid cases in the UK was 313,483. I could not find yesterday's figures. Today the total number of cases up to yesterday is 283,757 - a figure that by my records was achieved on 6th June. So 30,000 cases have disappeared. Looking at the source of my figures it seems all the numbers have been re-cast:
https:/ /www.wo rldomet ers.inf o/coron avirus/ country /uk
Wos 'appening?
https:/
Wos 'appening?
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"We have updated the methodology of reporting positive cases, to remove duplicates within and across pillars 1 and 2, to ensure that a person who tests positive is only counted once. Methodologies between nations differ and we will be making future revisions to align approaches as much as possible across the 4 nations.Due to this change, and a revision of historical data in pillar 1, the cumulative total for positive cases is 30,302 lower than if you added the daily figure to yesterday’s total. We will revise the methodology note explaining this in more detail in due course"
"We have updated the methodology of reporting positive cases, to remove duplicates within and across pillars 1 and 2, to ensure that a person who tests positive is only counted once. Methodologies between nations differ and we will be making future revisions to align approaches as much as possible across the 4 nations.Due to this change, and a revision of historical data in pillar 1, the cumulative total for positive cases is 30,302 lower than if you added the daily figure to yesterday’s total. We will revise the methodology note explaining this in more detail in due course"
Scroll down to '2 July notes' for an explanation:
https:/ /www.go v.uk/gu idance/ coronav irus-co vid-19- informa tion-fo r-the-p ublic
https:/
// "We have updated the methodology of reporting positive cases, to remove duplicates within and across pillars 1 and 2, to ensure that a person who tests positive is only counted once. Methodologies between nations differ and we will be making future revisions to align approaches as much as possible across the 4 nations.Due to this change, and a revision of historical data in pillar 1, the cumulative total for positive cases is 30,302 lower than if you added the daily figure to yesterday’s total. We will revise the methodology note explaining this in more detail in due course" //
//Data that is never corrected is more suspicious than data that undergoes revisions.//
Yes Jim. But not only does it ruin my spreadsheet, but it also makes a mockery (and I've mocked it often enough) of the "R" number - the Holy Grail of all this (so we're told). That figure is often quoted to two decimal places and is said to be vital in deciding what parts of the economy will be saved or further ruined. But they've arbitrarily knocked 10% off one of the principle components.
Yes Jim. But not only does it ruin my spreadsheet, but it also makes a mockery (and I've mocked it often enough) of the "R" number - the Holy Grail of all this (so we're told). That figure is often quoted to two decimal places and is said to be vital in deciding what parts of the economy will be saved or further ruined. But they've arbitrarily knocked 10% off one of the principle components.
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