Another possible cause...You say you had your bathroom re-done in March ... over the winter months I got called to more than one or two of these 'cistern leaks'...
Everyone of them was condensation, which by the forces of nature... always ends up at the lowest point (the screws holding the cistern down, and then the floor).
Every time you flush...... the cistern is filled with cold water. The surface of the cistern is almost room temperature and the cold water is a lot colder..this will result in condensation running down the cistern and usually endind up on the floor.
But of course as soon as the weather warms up, the condensation will cease.
It may just have been a coincidence that the application of silicone coincided with the leak stopping.
A lot of people were under the impression thet their cistern was leaking, but infact it was'nt.
You may well not have noticed the leak as the water was dissapearing under the edge of the vinyl, and getting soaked up by the boards that were laid.
This is what caused the bubbling.
Idealy the boards should have been laid, then the new vinyl laid immediately...
Then the new pan fitted on top of the vinyl ...