ChatterBank1 min ago
Are we alone ?
Answers
The Drake equation needs a bit of a change IMHO
It goes straight from the probability of life to the probability of intelligent life.
There is a general assumption that life is very common based on the fact that it arose very rapidly on Earth and that seems pretty reasonable to me.
The assumption also commonly made is that once you have life...
It goes straight from the probability of life to the probability of intelligent life.
The assumption also commonly made is that once you have life...
13:30 Thu 23rd Aug 2012
-- answer removed --
Is this it? http:// www.pbs .org/wg ...e/dr ake-equ ation.h tml (Click "Launch Interactive")
IIRC the equation makes assumptions that may not hold.
Anyway we can feel alone if we never socialised with those around us so even if an alien species exists light years away they're not with us.
It sounds unlikely that intelligent life failed to emerge at all in the universe so, gut feeling, there is something intelligent somewhere. Just nowhere near our planet. But it is also possible that the emergence of intelligence is so rare it hasn't happened yet.
Anyway we can feel alone if we never socialised with those around us so even if an alien species exists light years away they're not with us.
It sounds unlikely that intelligent life failed to emerge at all in the universe so, gut feeling, there is something intelligent somewhere. Just nowhere near our planet. But it is also possible that the emergence of intelligence is so rare it hasn't happened yet.
If only there was a simple answer!
(1) No, we are not alone. Based on all the facts that we are aware of, it is overwhemingly probable that there are other sentient life forms in the universe, and quite probable that there are several of them in our own galaxy.
(2) Yes, we are effectively alone. The balance of probabilities is that, because of galactic distances and timescales, we humans and these other life forms will never become aware of each other. The best reasonable expectation is that, far in the future, we may find the remains of an extinct civilization on some Earth-like planet.
(1) No, we are not alone. Based on all the facts that we are aware of, it is overwhemingly probable that there are other sentient life forms in the universe, and quite probable that there are several of them in our own galaxy.
(2) Yes, we are effectively alone. The balance of probabilities is that, because of galactic distances and timescales, we humans and these other life forms will never become aware of each other. The best reasonable expectation is that, far in the future, we may find the remains of an extinct civilization on some Earth-like planet.