ChatterBank1 min ago
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For more on marking an answer as the "Best Answer", please visit our FAQ.OK, lets assume that all 4 hole cards are different, so there are 3x4=12 cards in the deck that would make a pair.
Probability of none of the community cards matching these is 36/48 x 35/47 x 34/46 x 33/45 x 32/44
=0.22
So you would get no pair about 22% of the time.
This percentage would be lower if both players had one or both the same cards to start with.
Hi,
That's great thanks, I think the last bit is true also...one of the other cards that were sought are already spoken for (in another pocket).
Quite significant that. A4 vs K3 is beating on strength of cards but also has the 22 percent chance of nothing happening and winning on that basis. Thanks.
Right, I've done some sums.
If both players share one card (eg AK v AQ) then the prob of high card winning is 38%
If both players have the same hand, high card will win 50% of the time, but of course this will always be a draw (if you don't count flushes).
On heads up play though, it would very rarely go to all five cards, you should be bluffing well before then !!
Well, mid-game turbo tourney holdem 5 handed if I'm a chip leader, I probably won't want to compromise my stack for anything. My AK off is only 50-50 versus even 77, so I guess it's all about position in game, and strategy, and button position. Any limper will go all in with 77, a desperado will go all in with anything. They have everything to gain by doubling up against me at any odds, I can gain by not taking that risk and waiting for a flop where I can see my odds better.
I think games are won or lost on those decisions.
I agree. I think some people make money consistently because they think of what the other has, when few others are. He has AAA, but the board has four hearts, why would the other guy be betting like crazy.
"Worst hand in poker is the second best hand." I'd rather have 2-3 off preflop and fold it, than have AA pocket and fall too much in love with it.