ChatterBank3 mins ago
HS2 Hits The Buffers.....
14 Answers
http:// www.spe ctator. ...2-th e-rail- to-nowh ere
essentially, HS2 is not currently required, since almost the same level of capacity improvement can be achieved with almost nil infrastructure expenditure (by lengthening the pendolinos, and allowing the slower trains to run at 110mph rather than 100 - both of which are in progress).
the only reason for persisting with HS2 now would be to build in the capacity improvement that will be necessary in 20-30 year's time, when fossil fuels become too expensive for internal flights.
so, should this still be progressed now, or left until 10-20 years hence, when the cost will have spiralled?
essentially, HS2 is not currently required, since almost the same level of capacity improvement can be achieved with almost nil infrastructure expenditure (by lengthening the pendolinos, and allowing the slower trains to run at 110mph rather than 100 - both of which are in progress).
the only reason for persisting with HS2 now would be to build in the capacity improvement that will be necessary in 20-30 year's time, when fossil fuels become too expensive for internal flights.
so, should this still be progressed now, or left until 10-20 years hence, when the cost will have spiralled?
Answers
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For more on marking an answer as the "Best Answer", please visit our FAQ.But HS2 is not for NOW.
Phase 1 between London and Birmingham is not due to open till 2026 (probably later with the way these things work).
Remember they had the same complaints when they tried to build the canals in the 1700s, or the motorways in the 1960s and beyond.
And all these people who live in the country and moan about HS2, I bet they use the M40, or M6, or M5, and all of them went through green belt land.
Phase 1 between London and Birmingham is not due to open till 2026 (probably later with the way these things work).
Remember they had the same complaints when they tried to build the canals in the 1700s, or the motorways in the 1960s and beyond.
And all these people who live in the country and moan about HS2, I bet they use the M40, or M6, or M5, and all of them went through green belt land.
Well I live quite close to the route but I'm not directly affected
I have a few problems with it
1/ the environmental case is a joke - it relys on the assumption that it will free up slots at Heathrow which will not then be filled
2/ The economic case is very dubious - right now it will cost £32 Billion - that's over £500 for every man woman and child in the country call it £1,000 for every taxpayer regardless of where they live!
They estimate up to £46 billion of benefits
But operating costs have ben omitted bringing up the cost to £44 Billion
And it assumes 27% inflation in fares.
We also know that costs on projects like this typically overrun wildly
Let me ask a question
Would you invest your own money in HS2?
I wouldn't
I have a few problems with it
1/ the environmental case is a joke - it relys on the assumption that it will free up slots at Heathrow which will not then be filled
2/ The economic case is very dubious - right now it will cost £32 Billion - that's over £500 for every man woman and child in the country call it £1,000 for every taxpayer regardless of where they live!
They estimate up to £46 billion of benefits
But operating costs have ben omitted bringing up the cost to £44 Billion
And it assumes 27% inflation in fares.
We also know that costs on projects like this typically overrun wildly
Let me ask a question
Would you invest your own money in HS2?
I wouldn't
It would have a massive impact on euston, where houses, homes, businesses would have to be demolished, and the residents rehoused elsewhere. The information i last had a look at, was that an old hospital near them would be pulled down, and new homes and business premises built. Not sure of total cost but it would be millions. The residents and business people in that area have been petitioning for ages to get it stopped as the cost to them, and the loss of their businesses would be huge.
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