How Could The Bookies Have Got It So Wrong?

[sandyRoe]

If the opinions of ABers on the subject of Britex is a true reflection of the country as a whole the bookies are in for a drubbing. You can get odds of 7/2 (£2 would win you £7) on an out majority.
They're usually pretty good at predicting political events. Why are they going wrong here?

[EDDIE51]

I posted the bookies odds a week or more ago.
I think that there is a feeling that publicly supporting 'remain' is seen as a 'Anti British' and is likely to evoke a negative response in conversation, so those who support 'remain' tend to keep their mouths shut. I have been accused of being a 'millionaire with my nose in the trough' of being 'stupid' and 'shortsighted' on AB for posting in support of 'remain' , similar comments have been aimed at others. It will not change my opinion and I remain confident of a majority 'Remain' vote when the result is announced 3 weeks from today. I was sure a similar situation arose in the Scottish referendum with those who supported staying as part of the UK preferring to keep quite and express their view in the privacy of the polling booth. I am sure the same will apply to this referendum with the quiet majority waiting until 23rd to vote 'remain' in private.
Again as I said before, if you are so sure that 'Leave' will win go down to the bookies and put your money on it , you could get 4/1 last time I looked.(1/4 for 'Remain')

[EDDIE51]

Up to date odds here
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result
These are updated constantly to reflect the amount of money being put on each side.

[jourdain2]

Thanks EDDIE. I got money on at 4/1the other week. Not normally a betting person, not even on the Grand National. We'll await the outcome.

[agchristie]

Farage has put a grand on at 7-2.

Pocket money for him!

[Ken4155]

The gap between the prices for staying or leaving shortened a tad after Cameron's tv performance. Now it remains to be seen what effect on the bookies price compilers Gove's equally inept performance will have once it has been analysed to the nth degree.

[Svejk]

Equally inept performance? You obviously didn't watch it.