Good Friday Punt

[Ken4155]

The all weather takes prominence today and, while it's not really my cup of tea, some decent horses have come together to make it that more enticing. Not going a bundle on them with the win singles stakes reduced somewhat.

1.40 New; Oriental Lilly @ 9/2
2.30 Ling; Summer Icon @ 6/1
2.45 New; Insurplus @ 11/2
3.20 New; Lexington Law @ 13/2

Win singles, 20p lucky 15, 50p e.w. acca. 4 placed = £10, 4 winners = £1,611

Also done a couple of forecasts, a couple of trixies and a placepot at both Ling and Bath.

Good luck anyone having a punt, today.

[Togo]

Had a little look Ken. 365 gave me another free bet so have done

Lexington Law @8/1 3.20 Newcastle.
Purser @11/4 3.55 Newcastle.
Constantino @9/1 4.00 Bath
Utmost @7/1 4.40 Lingfield

The usual £1.00E/W Acca and 30p Doubles and Trebles.

I noticed a runner in the 1.50 at Bath earlier on offer at 100/1 but whilst prevaricating it dropped to 80s so I did £1.00 E/W. It then went 66s, 40s, 33s 25s......Gower Gold. Who knows? Owned and trained by J Gallagher.

[Ken4155]

Very kind those gentle folk at 365, Togo. Gave me a free £5 bet credit yesterday and i used it well ; Nonios @ 5/2 (drifted to 7/2), Skipping On @ 2/1 and The Bay Birch @ 11/10 in a £1 Trixie, £1 Treble. All 3 won and, because of the slight drift, my expected £68.25 became £85.95 :-) :-) :-)

Hoping for some of the same, today. Again, good luck.

[albaqwerty]

I love to hear of folk winning at the bookies.

No doubt Mr Alba will be having a punt when he finishes work later on, he's really really good at choosing seconds.

[Togo]

Looks like 3 races have been abandoned at Bath. 2.55, 4.00 and 4.35.

[Ken4155]

Really unlucky there, Togo. Yours ran out of steam in the final furlong to finish 4th!!!

Would you believe, out of the 4 i've done at Bath, 3 of the races have been abandoned!!

[gollob]

I have backed Jelena Ostapenko to win the Miami Tennis final at 49/1 to win £800 .The bookmakers have offered me £300 for the bet, What would you do. I have already won £250 on her in previous rounds. She is a higher seed than Sloane Stephens and has not dropped a set in the tournament yet she is not favourite. Have the bookies got it wrong?

[Ken4155]

Stake money returned from the Bath bet so i'm reinvesting just a fiver of it on the following 3 nags;

3.20 New; Lexington Law @ 11/2
4.10 Ling; Goring @ 10/1
4.40 Ling; Master The World @ 4/1

50p patent, 75p e.w. acca. 3 places = £9, 3 winners = £585

[Togo]

Bet 365 are offering odds of 4/6 Stephens and 6/5 Ostapenko.
Depends if the dosh comes in very handy. You could of course cash out and if you fancy her to win put a ton on at the best odds on offer. Sort of win/win. But kick yourself if she does.

[Ken4155]

gollob; I would never advise anyone to 'cash out' though the £300 offered is much more than your original stake. If you do cash out, you could always take the offer and plough £100 back on her at around the 5/2 mark. That would be a total return of £650 for your initial stake plus the £100. A good day's work by any standards.

[Ken4155]

I was typing mine as you were posting, Togo. Great minds and all that:-)

[Togo]

When you ask have the bookies got it wrong Gollob, they of course set their odds according to where the money has been laid. I suppose an American in Miami is going to attract the local money for sure, and it is not a major tournament attracting "World" wide interest. The bookies don't care who wins......as long as they do. If you have no time limit to adhere to I suppose you could wait till the last minute and see if they increase the offer. They may of course reduce it.

[Togo]

Haha Ken I did something similar when I had got the first 12 of a 13 team football result acca in. I put £50 on the draw and the opposite result just to make sure I had a decent payout. It was their money in some ways. Although I had no need to....... My prediction came in and I picked up £1,300+ for a £3 stake.

[gollob]

Ken there is no 5/2 JO is around 11/8 best price
I will stick with my original choice. All or nothing

[Togo]

Rooting for her Gollob.

[Ken4155]

gollob, you said you'd backed her to win the tournament outright so i thought that's the bet on which they'd made the offer? According to the Oddschecker website, she is available at 13/5 to do so - 3rd fav behind Azarenka and Stephens. She is around the 6/5 mark to win her next game. Good luck.

[Ken4155]

Strike my last. Obviously oddschecker (which is my bible) woefully out of date because they ain't yet caught up with the fact that the only game left IS the final :-/ :-/ So, to recap, i would wait until after the first set, the result of which will obviously affect the offer. Once again, the best of luck.

[Ken4155]

Or, gollob, or :-) :-) :-), you take the £300, then put £50 on a 2-0 win @ 5/2, and £50 on a 2-1 win @ 4/1 (both prices available at 365). It's a fun problem to have, actually, imvho.