Things Not Looking Good For The Orange One

[Hymie]

Although he is winning Primaries, he is only winning them by around 60 - 40 to Nikki Haley (as in South Carolina), but over 50% of those Haley voters say they will not vote for Trump if he wins the nomination.

 

Previous polling of Republican voters indicate that around 25% of their supporters will not vote for Trump and that number increases significantly if he is convicted of a crime (which is a dead certainty).

 

So unless some disaster befalls the Democratic Party, Trump has no chance whatsoever of winning the 2024 presidential election.

 

If you are a gambler, you can get odds of about evens on the Democrats or Republicans winning the 2024 presidential election (regardless of who is running) – I reckon the Democrats have got to be worth a punt.

 

This guy explains more in his video:-

 

[davebro3]

Polls are polls - when it comes to the actual vote they'll vote for "their" party.

[New Judge]

Unless it's simply from a betting viewpoint, I really cannot get too enthused about this.

It seems the American electorate will have a choice between a candidate who is up before The Beak every few weeks on various alleged felonies and misdemeanours and one who scarcely knows where he is most of the time and who will be 82 years old when he is sworn in and 86 years old at the end of his term.

I think the Americans seriously need to revisit their Presidential election process.

[Ellipsis]

Yes, I agree.

Re the OP, Nikki Haley is staying in the race on the off chance that Trump is knocked out of the race somehow, e.g. with a legal challenge. That will leave her with the last Republican candidate standing ... and I think she would have good chance of beating Biden.

[retrocop]

Any one who can remember the name of the head of state he has just been talking to and which country he/she represents would be a great step forward in the U.S. presidential election.