Panorama, Nate Silver, Anyone See It?

[ToraToraTora]

Here are his predictions: T:283, L:270,SNP:48, LD:24, DUP:8, UKIP:1, Others:16.
So what coalitions do you think would emerge from this little lot? For info this is the guy that got every state correct in the last US election, now te UK has a lot more variables so he's got his work cut out.

[youngmafbog]

It will be SNP/labour/Unions, whatever Red Ed says.

[jim360]

I think that if he gets it wrong then that would be entirely understandable...

[dave50]

Don't you think that possibly when the UKIP supporters get to the polling booth, they will decide that a cross against the Tories is better than one against UKIP which risk letting in a Labour/SNP coalition which would be too much to bare. There could be a surprise, very slim Conservative majority.

[youngmafbog]

You could be right.

I would love to give Cameron (and my useless local Tory MP ) a bloody nose and if it looked like a labour landslide I would have stuck my X on the UKIP space.

However a SNP/Union alliance in power is unacceptable so I will be holding my nose on voting day/

[ToraToraTora]

on these figures, Labour+SNP would not be enough anyway! Tory + SNP anyone?

[Bazile]

Tory + snp

Hasn't the young lady categorically ruled out an alliance with the Tories ?

[Jackdaw33]

Many SNP voters are far more right-wing than the party they support. The same is true of Labour voters, as anyone living in Labour heartlands will tell you. Britain has a natural inbuilt 'c'onservative majority, though not a Conservative one.

[ToraToraTora]

yes bazile but someone is going break their word and do a deal. I'll probably be Alex Salmond leading th SNP at westminster anyway as Sturgeon doesn't have a seat.

[jno]

I think it's as dave50 says: Ukip has lost momentum (unless a lot of people are lying, which is possible) and potential Tory voters will return to the fold... unless they read the polls and see the Tories are doing well anyway, and decide to stick with Farage.

[Gromit]

Labour / SNP / LibDems.

[Gromit]

Sturgeon could demand that Miliband stand down as Labour leader as one of her conditions for joining a Rainbow Alliance. That would be fun.

[TTG]

Labour/SNP/Unions.... lol the North deserve all they vote for! God help the UK.

[ludwig]

// Sturgeon could demand that Miliband stand down as Labour leader as one of her conditions for joining a Rainbow Alliance. That would be fun. //

Good point. As far as I know it's only Ed that's been saying he'll never do a deal with the SNP. He can't rule it out for his successor, and his successor may be in place very shortly after the election.

Harman and Sturgeon running the country between them. Oh dear.

[naomi24]

//Harman and Sturgeon running the country between them. Oh dear. //

What a horrible thought!