If your self assessment liability ever drops below £1000 in total for a year (call it year X), then you will not be asked make payments on account of year X+1, and any liability for year X+1 will be payable in a single payment on 31 January following the end of year X+1. If your total liability for year X+1 rises above £1000 then you will potentially be required to make payments on account of year X+2, the first of which coincides with the due date for paying the tax for year X+1. Therefore, if your SA liability for each year hovers at around £1000, some years dipping below but others going above, then the 18 months' tax effect in a single instalment could theoretically repeat. A similar effect is observed if in year X the total amount of tax deducted at source (under PAYE or from investment income) is more than 80% of your total liability for the year (self assessment plus tax taken at source).
However, if your total SA liability for each year remains fairly stable AND consistently above £1000 per year, then you are correct in your assumption that after the first year you should find yourself paying roughly half a year's tax on each instalment of 31 January and 31 July.
The position is potentially complicated by the fact that you also have PAYE income sources. There are options, within certain financial limits, to have your PAYE code restricted so as to collect tax that would otherwise be due under self assessment on other, untaxed, income sources. This tends to smooth out lump sum liabilities, but depending on the numbers can either accelerate or defer the payment of tax.
http://www.hmrc.gov.u...erstand-statement.htm