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Just a prediction Khandro, and I might be wrong. But UKIP will not form the next government, of that I am sure.
I listened to Farage being interviewed by Mr Humphreys on the Today program this morning. He came over as rather tired and pissed off with everything. I even felt slightly sorry for him, as his AGM had been overshadowed by the silly clown that is Bloom. But I noticed he didn't argue with Humphrey's point about taking votes from the Tories.
Somewhat puzzled as to your post though...aren't we all interested in who will win the next election ?