Hung Parliament

[hereIam]

Just heard on the news on my radio that BJ thinks we may have a hung Parliament - NO!!!! I may have to rethink my views and vote now. Can't stand the thought of Corbyn being anywhere near the helm. Is it fast becoming a disaster now ??

[Gromit]

TheConservatives have to gain 28 seats to get a majority.

I am doubtful, but we shall see on Friday morning.

[naomi24]

Someone said the other day that, because of postal voting, the final result won't be in until the weekend. Is that right?

[Gromit]

Tora,
I realise you don’t want to go into too much detail, but can I ask you one question.

Do you think the Brexit Party will win a seat ?

[Gromit]

Naomi,

I think the postal votes are counted first, once the polls have closed. So there should be a delay due to that.

Sometimes if there are recounts, or a large rural seat, the result can drag into Friday afternoon. But we usually know who has won even if a couple of results are late.

[Gromit]

should NOT be a delay due to that.

[naomi24]

Yes, that's what I thought. Thanks Gromit.

[ToraToraTora]

No I do not believe the Brexit party will win a seat.

[drmorgans]

From my experience postal votes are counted in batches as they arrive with a final "sweep up" after election day. So returning officers have an idea already how the election is going, though obviously they can't tell anyone.

[hereIam]

Hopkirk the reason I said I wold never vote again was because democracy died with the Brexit vote and that was the only reason. I have now decided that we need to keep Corbyn out as he seems to be climbing a little in the polls. So, I will do something I have never done in my life, I will vote Tory to help get Bojo back in and hope and pray he DOES manage to get us Brexit, but I have to be honest, I have my doubts.

[naomi24]

Well done, hereIam! I know that's not an easy decision for you. Have a gold star! x

[diddlydo]

Be true to your values and don't vote for the person alone. Certainly do not vote Tory - better to spoil the ballot paper or even not vote at all (I wouldn't normally advocate the latter as I believe it to be a civic duty but in the circumstances it's better than a Tory vote that you don't really believe in)

[hereIam]

Hee hee thanks naomi x

By the way ymb, thanks for telling me how to do links (probably still won't be able to though) !!

[hereIam]

Sorry TTT, not ymb ...

[Togo]

//TheConservatives have to gain 28 seats to get a majority.//

The Conservatives only need to gain between 4 and 14 seats to have a working majority of between 1 and 21. If they gain 15+ seats they will have a majority of 23+. If the Conservatives gain 15+ seats it will be their biggest win since 1987 and give us a dominant Parliament and 5 years of stability to get a hard Brexit done and fulfil the wishes of the people of Britain.

[ichkeria]

I'm only going to predict the NI seats, with DUP 7, Sinn Fein 6, UUP 3, SDLP 2
Probably a very optimistic assessment.

If I was in a marginal DUP/Sinn Fein seat and I wanted to vote to stop Brexit I'd vote DUP, because although they say they support Brexit, they've voted against it every time in the Commons and will continue to do so, whereas Sinn Fein, despite opposing Brexit, will never take their seats in parliament to vote against it.
Tho the fact that both these parties are still certain to take most of the seats - despite their appalling record of abandoning the Assembly and twiddling their thumbs while N Ireland's health service disintegrates - is a sad reflection of NI politics.

[diddlydo]

HereIam - take no notice of Naomi as she spouts a load of c***

[ToraToraTora]

" So, I will do something I have never done in my life, I will vote Tory " give yourself BA for that, sometimes it is necessary to do strange things to prevent worse things. You are not alone, they are predicting that many are doing exactly that, so toxic is Labour at the moment even their own MPs and Lords are urging people to vote Tory.

[hereIam]

diddlydo - don't be silly, I would take naomi over your daft ramblings any day !

Yes, TTT it's the right thing to do and I feel quite pleased now that I have made the decision ..

[Togo]

Further to my 13.40 post....
If the conservatives lose up to 6 or only gain up to 3 seats it is a Hung Parliament they will again require DUP support and Boris would need a new Brexit deal.
If he Conservatives lost between 7 & 70 seats it is again a Hung Parliament with a minority Labour Government likely with the support of other like minded home wreckers or promises from them of abstentions.
If the Conservatives lose 71+ seats it will be a disastrous Labour Government and a race for the boats and planes as Britain empties of all but the willing and ultimately doomed victims.

[ToraToraTora]

indeed togs, ironically, I'd probably emigrate to France!