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Wuhan Social Distancing
Wuhan lifts social distancing measures after 3 days with no newly recorded cases.
Will the UK follow suit if we have 3 days no new cases?
Will the UK follow suit if we have 3 days no new cases?
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Each country decides its own policy in all matters relating to an epidemic, the WHO makes recommendations. On past performance the UK will scrupulously remain different from every other country or, if that is impossible (no option of being totally different), at least be as different as possible - but it remains to be seen.
Anyway, I read something saying scientists here were expecting a peak in around 2 weeks from now (based on Italy I think), although I'm not sure what the explanation is- maybe people are infected already without realising from before social distancing was the norm and it won't lead to death for 2 weeks. I think the big surge though will be in care homes and among elderly shoppers who still seem to be in supermarkets and on buses -some need to but I know some who don't like to be told
Official stats from the Chinese government here:
http://
Google translation follows:
//Update on the epidemic situation of new coronavirus pneumonia as of 24:00 on March 21
Published: 2020-03-22Source : Health Emergency Office
At 04:00 on March 21, 31 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 46 new confirmed cases, 6 new deaths (5 in Hubei), and 45 new suspected cases.
On the same day, 504 new cases were cured and discharged, and 1,110 persons who had close contact with medical observation were released, and 118 severe cases were reduced.
As of 24:00 on March 21, according to reports from 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, there were 5549 confirmed cases (among which, 1845 were severe cases), 72,440 cases were discharged from the hospital, and 3261 cases were dead. A total of 81,054 confirmed cases were reported, and 118 cases were suspected. A total of 687,680 close contacts were traced, and 1,071 close contacts were still in medical observation.
There were 0 new confirmed cases in Hubei (0 in Wuhan), 490 new cured cases (463 in Wuhan), 5 new deaths (4 in Wuhan), and 5224 confirmed cases (5143 in Wuhan). Among them, 1812 were severe cases (1794 in Wuhan). A total of 59,432 discharged patients (42,354 in Wuhan) were cured, 3,144 deaths (2,508 in Wuhan), and 67,800 confirmed cases (in Wuhan, 5,005). There were 0 new suspected cases (0 in Wuhan) and 0 existing suspected cases (0 in Wuhan).
From 04:00 to 24:00 on March 21, 45 newly diagnosed imported cases were reported (14 in Shanghai, 13 in Beijing, 7 in Guangdong, 4 in Fujian, 2 in Jiangsu, 1 each in Hebei, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Shandong and Sichuan example). As of 24:00 on March 21, a total of 314 confirmed imported cases were reported overseas.
A total of 444 confirmed cases were reported from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan: 273 cases in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (100 cases discharged, 4 deaths), 18 cases in Macau Special Administrative Region (10 cases discharged), 153 cases in Taiwan (28 cases discharged, 2 deaths) ).
(Note: When quoted by the media, please mark "Information comes from the official website of the National Health and Health Commission.")//
The Western reporting of lifting of restrictions in Wuhan is more optimism than reality. They need 14 days of no new cases before the borders of Hubei Province are opened. However, some of the most restrictive rules have been lifted, allowing people to move around the city of Wuhan.
https:/
http://
Google translation follows:
//Update on the epidemic situation of new coronavirus pneumonia as of 24:00 on March 21
Published: 2020-03-22Source : Health Emergency Office
At 04:00 on March 21, 31 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 46 new confirmed cases, 6 new deaths (5 in Hubei), and 45 new suspected cases.
On the same day, 504 new cases were cured and discharged, and 1,110 persons who had close contact with medical observation were released, and 118 severe cases were reduced.
As of 24:00 on March 21, according to reports from 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, there were 5549 confirmed cases (among which, 1845 were severe cases), 72,440 cases were discharged from the hospital, and 3261 cases were dead. A total of 81,054 confirmed cases were reported, and 118 cases were suspected. A total of 687,680 close contacts were traced, and 1,071 close contacts were still in medical observation.
There were 0 new confirmed cases in Hubei (0 in Wuhan), 490 new cured cases (463 in Wuhan), 5 new deaths (4 in Wuhan), and 5224 confirmed cases (5143 in Wuhan). Among them, 1812 were severe cases (1794 in Wuhan). A total of 59,432 discharged patients (42,354 in Wuhan) were cured, 3,144 deaths (2,508 in Wuhan), and 67,800 confirmed cases (in Wuhan, 5,005). There were 0 new suspected cases (0 in Wuhan) and 0 existing suspected cases (0 in Wuhan).
From 04:00 to 24:00 on March 21, 45 newly diagnosed imported cases were reported (14 in Shanghai, 13 in Beijing, 7 in Guangdong, 4 in Fujian, 2 in Jiangsu, 1 each in Hebei, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Shandong and Sichuan example). As of 24:00 on March 21, a total of 314 confirmed imported cases were reported overseas.
A total of 444 confirmed cases were reported from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan: 273 cases in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (100 cases discharged, 4 deaths), 18 cases in Macau Special Administrative Region (10 cases discharged), 153 cases in Taiwan (28 cases discharged, 2 deaths) ).
(Note: When quoted by the media, please mark "Information comes from the official website of the National Health and Health Commission.")//
The Western reporting of lifting of restrictions in Wuhan is more optimism than reality. They need 14 days of no new cases before the borders of Hubei Province are opened. However, some of the most restrictive rules have been lifted, allowing people to move around the city of Wuhan.
https:/
A little diagram here showing stats that predict is possible and what was possible.
https:/
https:/
>Elderly people have to eat, ff. Why else would they go to supermarkets?
Reread what I said and work it out for yourself.
Here's an example. My son and flatmates offered to do some shopping for an elderly couple of neighbours but they had everything they needed. A few hours later he saw them get off a bus carrying a pack of toilet rolls.
Reread what I said and work it out for yourself.
Here's an example. My son and flatmates offered to do some shopping for an elderly couple of neighbours but they had everything they needed. A few hours later he saw them get off a bus carrying a pack of toilet rolls.
interesting article in the sunday times -
https:/
(if you find it paywalled, you can read a copy here - http://
//At a private engagement at the end of February, Cummings outlined the government’s strategy. Those present say it was “herd immunity, protect the economy and if that means some pensioners die, too bad”.//
needless to say the calls for the head of Mr Cummings are growing louder.....
https:/
(if you find it paywalled, you can read a copy here - http://
//At a private engagement at the end of February, Cummings outlined the government’s strategy. Those present say it was “herd immunity, protect the economy and if that means some pensioners die, too bad”.//
needless to say the calls for the head of Mr Cummings are growing louder.....
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