Trump Will Win This Years U.s. Elections

[johnny.5]

Am I Right?
I'm Not wrong!

or could I be for once?

[ichkeria]

Quite a few Republicans are down to speak at the Democrat convention. To the extent that a few Democrats even complained about not getting a look-in :-)
Biden was Trump's nightmare scenario - until the pandemic took that role over :-) . He was looking forward to someone like Sanders to scare the voters. The Democrats' biggest danger is voter apathy.
I don't accept the idea that a significant number of voters are ashamed to admit to pollsters that they won't vote this way or that way. More likely discrepancies occur through simply not tapping all sources. In this case, if the polls remain the same, it would have to be shame or polling incompetence on rather a dramatic scale.

I thought it was quite funny that after all his railing against postal voting, guess who's applied for one, along with his wife (!)

[jim360]

I'm not convinced that Trump supporters are shy about that fact, since most of them can barely shut up about it. On the other hand, they are (and always have been!) in a minority, so it's more a question of where Biden's votes come from, and if he wins in a few key states.

At the moment, it's odds-on Biden, but I get bothered by people seeming to think it's in the bag already.

[dannyk13]

Jim//At the moment, it's odds-on Biden, //
Not according to the bookies.

[dannyk13]

//For the 2020 Presidential election, Donald Trump is the “odds-on” favorite on betting sites.//

[zebo]

I agree, the Democrats don't have a particularly good candidate and like it or not his choice for VP will have antagonised many red-neck Americans. Trump is popular in many parts of the US, he says what they like to hear.

[Jackdaw33]

Had this been a normal year, with all the razzmatazz of primaries etc, I don't think Biden would even be in the running. At the age of 78 he is better placed to be elected pope rather than president.

[THECORBYLOON]

According to odds checker.com, Biden is the odds-on favourite to win.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2020/winner

[jim360]

I'll take your word for it on betting sites, danny, let me rephrase slightly: Biden has a comfortable lead, currently, in the polls both nationwide and in several key states. In that sense, if the election were held tomorrow, Biden would (probably) win, which makes him, as far as I can see, odds-on. I'm not sure what the betting site logic is but I'm certainly happy to accept that, as the election is not tomorrow, there's plenty of time for Trump to recover somehow.

[Peter Pedant]

// He's a lying, conniving ,,,,,,g but torment and pain.
(Not a fan)//

I can hear you above the hairdriers - - - ter aaah !
(that was you wasnt it)

[dannyk13]

Corby And to counter that:[
https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/politics/bidens-oddswin-2020-election-fade-harris-vp-pick/

[Peter Pedant]

// At the age of 78 he is better placed to be elected pope rather than president.//
and a bit young to be Queen
and far too old to be the next dalai lama

(yes I am sure I am on AB - just er blending in)

[jim360]

I don't see how that shows that Biden isn't favourite, danny.

[jim360]

"Expect that the next odds movement in the 2020 Presidential election market to show Biden widening his lead over Trump."

[THECORBYLOON]

DANNY, from your link, "Democrat Joe Biden is still the favorite to win the 2020 US Presidential election"

[dannyk13]

Biden has a minus figure against Trumps plus.

[Jackdaw33]

If Biden wins it will not be because of who he is but who he isn't.

[jim360]

Yes, but you are then misreading the numbers.

For example, it says that "Biden's odds fell from -170 to as low as -135" (or equivalent figures), and "Trump's improved from +142 to +128" (or equivalent figures), which indicates that the more negative a number is the better.

[carolegif]

The Democratic cities are in meltdown due to the defunding the police agenda like New York, Chicago, LA and Seattle. Trump will use this as his rallying cry, he already is. Biden looked very doddery when on the platform with Kamala, it looked Like she was holding him up.
Won’t be the first time a president has had Alzheimer’s in office. Reagan did at the end of his presidency.
This reminds me of the French elections some years ago when they had to vote between ‘the racist’ or ‘the crook’!

[jim360]

Also, Hillary Clinton is on +5000, making her presumably 40 times more likely to win than Trump.

Y'all need to check your links more carefully, danny.

[THECORBYLOON]

DANNY, I've not seen odds expressed in that way but a negative figure means odds-on and a positive means odds-against.

This link gives examples

https://www.aceodds.com/bet-calculator/odds-converter.html