Trump Will Win This Years U.s. Elections

[johnny.5]

Am I Right?
I'm Not wrong!

or could I be for once?

[dannyk13]

Corby, Since Biden chose his running mate he has been losing votes,which hardly makes him an odds onfavourite.

[fender62]

carolegif, //The Democratic cities are in meltdown// this is true as is portland org, riots looting shootings murders, democrats like blm whether they burn loot or murder...very quiet on thata front.

[jim360]

His chances might have gone down in this assessment but he's still odds-on favourite.

Come on, danny, you made a mistake, easy one to make, admit it and then move on.

[dannyk13]

OK I'll admit it just to please you Jim.I still think that Biden has no chance of winning.

[THECORBYLOON]

If someone or something has gone down from 1/20 to 1/4 and the other person or thing has gone down from 20/1 to 4/1 for example, there is an odds-on favourite still.

If something is "odds-on", it is thought to be more likely to happen than not happen.

[jim360]

Clearly not *no* chance, given that all the betting trackers have him as favourite.

Don't admit it to please me, or anybody else. Admit it because objective truth ought to be something to aspire to, not to pick and choose. Biden is judged to be the favourite to win by almost everybody. That doesn't mean that he will win, and I certainly wouldn't be so foolish as to write Trump off.

[dannyk13]

JIm, I have always associated odds on with a shoe-in, which Biden is certainly not.

[ToraToraTora]

it's around 4-6 Biden, 11-8 Trump across the bookies. Hilary was 1-3 in 2016. I'd say Waggy Tails will be getting another Bay of plenty jim!
https://www.fox6now.com/news/what-are-the-odds-of-trump-clinton-winning-the-2016-presidential-election

[jim360]

Like I say, it wouldn't surprise me if things change by November.

[ToraToraTora]

the septics have a strange way of quoting odds!

[ToraToraTora]

what you also have to consider is that betting odds are made to balance the book. So they can be skewed, if a lot of money goes on one candidate they can shorten the odds to attract more action on the other side. They often do give an accurate assessment but like opinion polls they are often wrong.

[ichkeria]

It would be bizarre if current odds showed Trump to be the favourite given Biden leads by 8.5 percentage points in the latest poll. And even leads in Arizona, which has barely gone blue since the war

[ichkeria]

If the betting is wrong it hardly matters unless you do reflection of likelihood. Which it never is of course

[jourdain2]

I've been suspecting that Trump will win for some time and so have been checking at the bookies (I rarely gamble, but won on him last time). The odds were so close that I didn't bother in the end - I'd expected that they might be weighted firmly against. I'll keep my eye on them. I think what is happening is a bit of a repeat - a noisy, media-supported triumphalist march by the opposition...... and nobody listening to everyman in the corner over there.

[anneasquith]

Whatever the outcome, good luck in ungluing him from his chair. Already he is saying the postal votes are corrupt. Excuse at the ready. Fool .

[Bazile]

So, what's Trump trying to do with the US Postal service - why has he appointed a Trump man to the top job

Listening to various American commentators ,the service is robust

So why is he appearing to be trying to fix the system to his advantage ?

[douglas9401]

He seems to imagine his position akin to that of his bezzi mate Putin but only puts the dick in dictator.

[ichkeria]

The polls (which are rather different to last time gapwis - and they did predict Clinton world get more votes, which she did) are what you need to look at rather than the odds. As Tora explained better than I did. If Trump moved out too far in the betting he’d presumably get more backers, and the price would inevitably come in again.

[Spicerack]

Of course postal voting is corrupt. Why else do you think Lefty clamours for them in every election.

[Mozz71]

Given the pandemic, I'd suggest that postal votes are going to be more essential than ever this year.