https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html
Mid term mid crises, Labour should be riding high, yet if there were a GE tomorrow Boris would still have a majority of 20. Plenty of time to get back to 80 and thrashing Labour in 2024. The search for GE winning Labour leader no 4 continues.
Predictions are fraught with dangers.
Some predict that when the Greater London Authority’s oversight committee which is now conducting its own investigation into allegations from Jennifer Arcuri about her relationship with Boris Johnson, with its findings due to emerge “sometime after the summer holidays”, it could be damaging to Boris.
Then of course his dalliance with Arcuri has produced other questions about Boris: