ChatterBank0 min ago
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No best answer has yet been selected by ll_billym. Once a best answer has been selected, it will be shown here.
For more on marking an answer as the "Best Answer", please visit our FAQ.Oh I hate this week! First I agreed with Loosehead in the News forum and now Lonnie.
Any moment now the world will be coming to an end!
Given that 1918's flu that killed so many people was a bird flu, the thing we need to take on board is:
a) Some bird flus kill people
b) They are pretty much unstoppable
c) It's unlikely we'll ever irradicate it
The current wave is not a great human health threat unless you're in close contact with bird faeces but it is a major agricultural threat and it may be back in 6 months or a year depending on bird migrations.
I still have not heard a convincing answer to the key question "How likely are flu mutations to human-human transmissible forms"
I think we have a breathing space - It's probably important not to waste it.
Don't get the Egypt bit how did it get from there to East Asia without anybody noticing?
Don't relax just yet, there are other countries in the world apart from the UK and avian influenza virus has only just started to take hold in Africa which has the lowest availibility of financial and technical resources to do anything against the spread across the continent, add to that the fact that the majority of the populations are very poor and will have to choose between culling (killing) any domestic birds or starving without them I dont think that the chances to control the spread is very high.
And the one thing the scientists are worried about is bird flu spreading through a bird population which is in close contact with the human population as this will give the best chances for a bird->human jump.
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