In the other fuel thread I posted
http://www.eia.doe.gov/steo
The oil supply system continues to operate at near capacity and remains vulnerable to both actual and perceived supply disruptions. The supply and demand balance for the remainder of the year is tighter than in last month�s Outlook. World oil markets are particularly tight during the first half of 2008, with year-over-year growth in world oil consumption outstripping growth in non-Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) production by over 1 million bbl/d.
This is from the US DOE site and represents official figures
I asked Lakitu to backup these statements
I've yet to see any such substantiation