Well it seems England have the psychological upper hand at the moment, with 6 of the Aussies preferred top 7 failing in their last State games before The Gabba.
However, I agree that the 1st hour of the 1st session of the 1st test will be so crucial to deciding the destination of The Ashes. On the Radio 5 preview last night, the word from Stewie, Hoggard & Simon Hughes was that if England don't lose in Brisbane they will retain The Urn.
My personal take on it is that it is just too close to call, bring it on!!