May is a certainty to get through. There are moves by Mays supporters to vote tactically and bolster Gove. They perfer him on the final two ballot paper, because grassroots Tory members have a habit of picking the outsider candidate which Leadsom is.
// today vote for the final two candidates in the Conservative Party's leadership election in a contest which will be remembered as one of the bloodiest in the party's history.
Last night it emerged that allies of Michael Gove's urged MPs backing Theresa May to vote tactically to block Andrea Leadsom because they are "seriously frightened" about the prospect of her becoming prime minister.
Nick Boles, the Justice Secretary's campaign manager, has sent a text to MPs telling them that it would be in the "national interest" for them to stop Mrs Leadsom getting to the final run-off because she may win the vote of party members. //
So Gove could scrap through to the last two, much to my surprise at the beginning of the process.