I am sure that before too long at least one Middle Eastern country will launch a nuclear strike against someone, mainly becuase they will always do exactly what they are told not to, and I don't think any of them buy what we've told them about the damage to EVERYONE that a nuclear strike causes. As far as I am concerned once the cold war was over and everyone knew how dangerous these weapons were in the wrong hands, there should have been a worldwide agreement to disarm any existing weapons and cease production / research on more. At some point we are going to have to get over our petty squabbles and think about what is best for the entire species, or we will end up causing our own extinction.