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Ukip
what chance of UKIP winning the 2015 General Election?
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The chances of UKIP winning ANY election in the next 20 years is nil.
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That's a bold statement considering their meteoric rise over the last 18 months. Didn't recent events, public opinion and the Euro elections register with you?
As you claimed they won't win ANY election, I take it that they won't win any by election at any time in the next 20 years then?
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That's a bold statement considering their meteoric rise over the last 18 months. Didn't recent events, public opinion and the Euro elections register with you?
As you claimed they won't win ANY election, I take it that they won't win any by election at any time in the next 20 years then?
They wont win it. For starters tgey dont have tge funds and manpower to do it.
what tgey could do though is hold a balance of power,much like tge lub dems did, still a low probability but possible, especially with attutudes like zacs and mickey here promptjng people to get out and vote just to poke them in the eye.
So, they wont win outright(just as well as they lackthe exerience to run a country at present) but they could 'win' by getting into a coalition.
what tgey could do though is hold a balance of power,much like tge lub dems did, still a low probability but possible, especially with attutudes like zacs and mickey here promptjng people to get out and vote just to poke them in the eye.
So, they wont win outright(just as well as they lackthe exerience to run a country at present) but they could 'win' by getting into a coalition.
A coalition would be interesting. I assume Farage would go with the Tories, and if, so would demand Cameron steps down.
In that situation, who would take over as leader of the Conservatives?
I'm thinking Theresa May is the most likely candidate, because from what I've read, she has broad support across the ranks of the party, but might she be a little to liberal (with a small 'L') for Nigel's tastes?
In that situation, who would take over as leader of the Conservatives?
I'm thinking Theresa May is the most likely candidate, because from what I've read, she has broad support across the ranks of the party, but might she be a little to liberal (with a small 'L') for Nigel's tastes?
No chance, except by holding the balance of power, IMO - but the analogy with the electoral rise of the Nazi party shows it can be done quickly from a low electoral base. NO, I definitely do not compare Ukip to Nazis, before anyone leaps in!
Telephoned a friend of mine this aft., who lives not too far from Ashford, Kent (moved back from France 2 years ago) and she said 'I honestly think nearly all of Kent will vote Ukip at the election from what I hear people saying'.
Telephoned a friend of mine this aft., who lives not too far from Ashford, Kent (moved back from France 2 years ago) and she said 'I honestly think nearly all of Kent will vote Ukip at the election from what I hear people saying'.
You may be right Gromit, and if that happens, then it looks very bad for dave, as Ms Sturgeon has already stated that she will not work with the Tories.
But as the referendum was soundly defeated in Scotland, I wouldn't be so sure that the SNP will take all those seats in the first place. They lost the vote, after all.
But as the referendum was soundly defeated in Scotland, I wouldn't be so sure that the SNP will take all those seats in the first place. They lost the vote, after all.
