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Exit Poll Suggests Tories Have Lost Majority

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jim360 | 21:00 Thu 08th Jun 2017 | News
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To be honest all, I can hardly be bothered for now. I spent 16 hours yesterday in a polling station doing the clerking and am crunched. But one thing for sure, I could have told you by 12noon that something big was happening. We are of course not allowed to communicate when on duty, but it was striking how many young first time voters were turning up. It was obvious...
11:21 Fri 09th Jun 2017
Sunderland has as much chance of going Tory as it has of getting back into the Premiership league.
Sunderland hold the record @ 10.42 , let's see how they do tonight.
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I would say 50/50 Labour/Tory.
I don't think labour should start counting their chickens yet
I'm in a marginal and nobody has ever asked me.

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No, I wouldn't be surprised if the Tory number gets revised a little upwards. But what seems very likely, if this is reasonably accurate, is that the Tory majority has not increased.
One of the companies that I work for is involved in the Exit Polls....they may be others as well.

They don't conduct the Poll at every Polling station....that just wouldn't be practical, so they concentrate on marginal seats.

Reports are sent back, every hour, as the day progresses. The last report would have been made at about 21:30.

But lets not get too excited....we won't really know until tomorrow....labour could get even more seats !

( or less, of course ! )
Fallon waffling very badly over on BBC 1 at the moment !
Question Author
What can he say? This is completely out of the blue.

Or would have been, had not YouGov predicted a Hung Parliament in a poll that was roundly rubbished on this site. Not looking quite so rubbish now, huh?
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I had a knock on my door tonight to ask me who I'd voted for.
Just you and me then Mikey !
I am determined not to crow tonight....well, perhaps a little !

But even if the Exit Poll is even slightly correct, I expect Mrs May to fall on her sword ASAP.

And Boris is waiting, patiently in the wings !
It's still very early, and depends how accurate exit polls are, but if TM wins by a reduced majority she has only herself to blame,
Remember the EU poll where it looked like the remainers had it ?
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Well at least Nicola will shut up about another indie ref ... won't she?
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There wasn't an EU Referendum Exit poll, so slightly different kettle of fish really.

I am not sure how seriously to take this one... yet. But as far as I can see, the margin of error will still keep May from having any kind of increased majority, at least. Maybe she'll scrap 330 seats or so and keep current majority, rendering the entire election a waste of time. Unlikely, but not impossible yet, for this poll to be wildly wrong after all.

Either way, this election night is going to be a lot more interesting than I'd thought.
And the next one, maybe within 6 months may be interesting too for some but I think Brenda from Bristol will have something to say on that
Brenda from Bristol ::::

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