Exit Poll Suggests Tories Have Lost Majority

[jim360]

https://media.giphy.com/media/PAjVurbxMguEU/giphy.gif

[fiction-factory]

Sorry, saw you earlier reference but missed your link Zacs

[Zacs-Master]

Correct ff. but we still seem to fall for it.

[naomi24]

Zacs, others might have fallen for it - that remains to be seen - but, as I understand it, you haven't.

[jim360]

Well maybe May should have waited three years and got on with the job, rather than trying to sucker the UK into giving her a "strong and stable" majority that she already had.

[naomi24]

Or maybe not. We shall see.

[Zacs-Master]

In a way we've all fallen for it. We voted a government into power and it looks like they've disrespected us and completely Miss read the situation, been complacent, and Miss judged the mood of the country / its youth demographic. They don't appeal to the younger voter who see a complete shambles with Brexit and who don't know what a socialist government can do to a country.
I hope the polls are wrong. Off to sleep now, hope I don't wake up to a distopian future.

[mikey4444]

Whatever the result tonight, Mrs May have shown that she just isn't up to the job. Her "nasty Party" campaign against Corbyn appears to have back-fired on her, and it would also appear that to attack pensioners incomes was a huge error.

[jim360]

Well, the Exit Poll is likely to be modified more than once over the course of the evening. We shall, indeed, see. And then the final result's only due tomorrow anyway.

All I'm saying is that it should never have been this close.

[naomi24]

Me too, Zacs. Sleep well. x

[naomi24]

Mikey, too late for your spite and your spin. Time to wait and see.

[EDDIE51]

At least it looks certain that UKIP have no chance of getting even one seat.

[jourdain2]

Me too, Zacs..

[mikey4444]

Where have I shown any spite ?

Handsome is as handsome does.....May has made a huge error.

[jim360]

Three seats in -- all Labour wins, Tory vote slightly up due to UKIP boost, Labour vote also up. Can't for the life of me know what to make of it all yet.

[fiction-factory]

Looks like Amber Rudd may lose her seat and a few others round the South East may go from Tory to Labour, including some bigger swings than Corbyn could have expected; but the swing in the NE has been from Labour to Tory and there are signs that some Wales seats may turn from red to blue. The picture isn't at all clear is it.

[mikey4444]

We now have 3 real results and Labour has done much better than expected. But the Tories seem to have hoovered up the UKIP vote, so perhaps the Exit Poll may not be as good as it appeared 2 hours ago.

So, a note of caution from mikey4444 !

Worth staying up for though !

[mikey4444]

FF...yes, I agree.

[jim360]

The thing is that there are two separate polls, with competing methodologies, that both predicted a Hung Parliament. I wish I understood the BBC's Exit Poll better. Uniform National Swing when that makes much less sense in the wake of Brexit? YouGov's prediction is, apparently, holding up a lot better so far, perhaps even underestimating Labour's performance slightly.