Mail On Sunday Prize Crossword
Crosswords0 min ago
Has The Corbyn Bubble Burst?
Cue for jim and co. to start working on the stats?
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Loving the Express's description of 12 out of 13 polls since the last election where Labour enjoyed a small lead as "a post-election blip".
Also loving how it glosses over the very same poll giving Corbyn a one-point lead over Theresa May in the "Who would you prefer to be Prime Minister?" question, which rather suggests that the "Corbyn bubble" hasn't burst yet.
But an individual opinion poll tends to mean little on its own -- which, incidentally, is a line I've always stuck to in case you accuse me of ignoring a result I don't agree with.
It may depend on how many people really care about the crisis in Venezuela and Corbyn's reaction to it -- I suspect that the fallout won't affect many people's views on Corbyn myself, although there's no denying that he hasn't got it right.
Also loving how it glosses over the very same poll giving Corbyn a one-point lead over Theresa May in the "Who would you prefer to be Prime Minister?" question, which rather suggests that the "Corbyn bubble" hasn't burst yet.
But an individual opinion poll tends to mean little on its own -- which, incidentally, is a line I've always stuck to in case you accuse me of ignoring a result I don't agree with.
It may depend on how many people really care about the crisis in Venezuela and Corbyn's reaction to it -- I suspect that the fallout won't affect many people's views on Corbyn myself, although there's no denying that he hasn't got it right.
"Loving the Express's description of 12 out of 13 polls since the last election where Labour enjoyed a small lead as 'a post-election blip'."
Just for the avoidance of doubt, that's 12 out of 13 polls not including this one -- which seemed appropriate given the Express's description of this poll as coming "after a post-election blip" (my italics).
Finally, let me just say that "working on the stats" is a rather pathetic way of dismissing my comments before they've started, when last time I "worked on the stats" it was on a post in which you got the interpretation of figures completely wrong (or, rather, let someone else get the interpretation wrong for you).
Just for the avoidance of doubt, that's 12 out of 13 polls not including this one -- which seemed appropriate given the Express's description of this poll as coming "after a post-election blip" (my italics).
Finally, let me just say that "working on the stats" is a rather pathetic way of dismissing my comments before they've started, when last time I "worked on the stats" it was on a post in which you got the interpretation of figures completely wrong (or, rather, let someone else get the interpretation wrong for you).
BMG Research poll was for the Independent, and the Daily Express have been highly selective with the results.
// Jeremy Corbyn remains more popular to be the next Prime Minister, but only by the slenderest margin of 33 per cent to Ms May’s 32 per cent. //
So a Corbyn lead over May is presented as a burst bubble. Seeing as May is even less popular, then her bubble must have burst too.
Other results of the poll were equally bad for May,
// Only 29 per cent of people want her to stay in power for the whole Parliament – compared with 48 per cent who want her to resign early, the poll by BMG Research found. //
Anyone wanting to see the rest of the poll, and not the Daily Express clutching at straws version, should read the full results in the Independent.
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// Jeremy Corbyn remains more popular to be the next Prime Minister, but only by the slenderest margin of 33 per cent to Ms May’s 32 per cent. //
So a Corbyn lead over May is presented as a burst bubble. Seeing as May is even less popular, then her bubble must have burst too.
Other results of the poll were equally bad for May,
// Only 29 per cent of people want her to stay in power for the whole Parliament – compared with 48 per cent who want her to resign early, the poll by BMG Research found. //
Anyone wanting to see the rest of the poll, and not the Daily Express clutching at straws version, should read the full results in the Independent.
http://
//// Jeremy Corbyn remains more popular to be the next Prime Minister, but only by the slenderest margin of 33 per cent to Ms May’s 32 per cent. //
So what is the point of that stat?
May will NOT remain PM for next term, in fact probably wont remain pm for this term.
Personally I dont trust polls at all now. Is JC less popular, yes probabaly given his climbdown on his promises, is he massively less popular ? No I doubt it, especially when May is the alternative. The interesting bit will come when the Tories announce their new leader and that is what matters not Corbyn vs useless May,
So what is the point of that stat?
May will NOT remain PM for next term, in fact probably wont remain pm for this term.
Personally I dont trust polls at all now. Is JC less popular, yes probabaly given his climbdown on his promises, is he massively less popular ? No I doubt it, especially when May is the alternative. The interesting bit will come when the Tories announce their new leader and that is what matters not Corbyn vs useless May,
Probably not, but I suppose how she handles her remaining tenure as PM will make a difference to the next one.
The one-point lead Corbyn "enjoys" according to the poll is pretty meaningless -- I've tended to make the point that you should always add "plus or minus five points" to any individual polling numbers, so really it represents an effective dead heat. What I found surprising was to learn that it's actually only the second poll (out of 11) since the Election where Corbyn was ahead. So there's also that.
I think it's probably better to see the Labour performance in the election as the (near)-rejection of such a terrible campaign by the Tories, and a return to a two-party system, rather than as a "Corbyn bubble".
The one-point lead Corbyn "enjoys" according to the poll is pretty meaningless -- I've tended to make the point that you should always add "plus or minus five points" to any individual polling numbers, so really it represents an effective dead heat. What I found surprising was to learn that it's actually only the second poll (out of 11) since the Election where Corbyn was ahead. So there's also that.
I think it's probably better to see the Labour performance in the election as the (near)-rejection of such a terrible campaign by the Tories, and a return to a two-party system, rather than as a "Corbyn bubble".
Polls are only any good for winding our resident Poll addict Mickey up. And even that has got boring now.
You are correct jim, May's actions could have an affect on the next leader but that can go two ways too. For instance if she attacks the grey vote again but the next leader vehemently argues against her then the new leader could gain brownie points.
As they say though, a week in politics is a long time!
You are correct jim, May's actions could have an affect on the next leader but that can go two ways too. For instance if she attacks the grey vote again but the next leader vehemently argues against her then the new leader could gain brownie points.
As they say though, a week in politics is a long time!
Who bloody cares? They will go up and down like a yo yo depending on what policy the pollsters like or don't like at the time.
Everyone from all parties snatch at any perceived advantage whether real or not.
So... expect more of the same drivel until it becomes clear that one is waaaayyy ahead. Then call another snap election and it all drops off again ;-)
Everyone from all parties snatch at any perceived advantage whether real or not.
So... expect more of the same drivel until it becomes clear that one is waaaayyy ahead. Then call another snap election and it all drops off again ;-)
Jeremy Corbyn isn't real. It must be true .... the BBC is reporting it.
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