// Outside London Labour will struggle. //
I expect Labour to do fine, just not make the usual mid term progress.
Though people are happy to get their vaccine, I am not sure they absolve the Government of any blame for the UK having a particular bad pandemic, 50,000+ more deaths than Germany. And half the population haven’t been jabbed yet, just the oldies.
With Covid and Brexit, many poor people have had a very bad 12 months. Though not directly the Governments fault, voters will want to blame someone.