Theland //Chance? What is the chance of something from nothing?
There has to be a first cause, and for me that is God.//
Your "first cause" is the most complex thing that can ever exist in the Universe. Yet your God has no cause or explanation for its existence.
Science explains how the complexity we see was derived from the simplest thing possible, a single intense burst of pure amorphous energy about 13.8 billion years ago which condensed into matter according to a small number of simple relationships with no conscious guidance required.