2019 Uk General Election Predicts:

[Gromit]

650 Seats contested. Here is my prediction...

My Prediction:
Conservative - 297 (-20)
Labour - 278 (+16) includes Speaker.
LibDem - 14 (+2)
SNP - 38 (+3)
Plaid 3 (-1)
DUP 7 (-3)
Sinn Fein - 8 (+1)
SDLP - 3 (+2)
Independent - 1 (-)
Green - 1 (-)
Brexit Party - 0 (-)
UKIP - 0 (-)
Change UK - 0 (-)

[ToraToraTora]

for someone that claims not to support Labour you seem to support them a lot.

[Gromit]

Tora,
I will not be voting Labour. Corbyn is a terrible leader and would be a terrible PM.

But Cameron/May/Johnson have been equally terrible. The split Conservative Party (putting Party before country) have been an omnishambles and is why Brexit has not been done. But I have no delusions that Labour under Corbyn would have done any better. Which is why I will not be voting for either of the main parties.

// you seem to support [Labour] a lot. //

I am not supporting Labour on this thread. I am predicting they will lose the General Elections for the reasons I have stated.
You seem to be predicting (again) that Labour will be decimated. I disagree with you, not because I am supporting Labour, but because I don’t believe the Conservatives deserve a majority because they have been abysmal.

[david small]

It’ll be more of the same, but a little less of the other.
Everything changes, but stays the same except for faggotts.

[ToraToraTora]

gromit, yes the Tories have been a mess of late but do you not think the things that have happened to Labour since the last GE will drive away many of their core voters? The anti semitism, the domination by hard left thugs, the driving out of moderate candidates, the support for terrorists of all kinds, the fact that despite 2 years of open goals Corbyn hasn't scored? Yes the polls are fickle but Corbyn should be way ahead pf the government by now. Yes I hope for a Tory win, hopefully with a working majority and I think it's plain to see from a public point of view that the PM has been frustrated by the the Quislings, I hope the public can see that.

[Gromit]

Tora,
The Labour Party had all the same accusations 2 years ago and improved its seats and voteshare.

[ToraToraTora]

not as bad, they've cleared out most of their moderates and Jewish MPs.

[Gromit]

I know it is not very scientific, but The electorate get fed up with Governments. Tories lost in 1997 because they had been in power too long. Labour lost in 2010 for the same reason. Tories have won the last 3 General Elections and the public are bored with them and will vote change for the sake of it.

[davebro]

" Labour lost in 2010 for the same reason"

Not really - Blair was a war monger & Brown was a useless chancellor & PM!

[ichkeria]

No Gromit makes a good point: when the same party has been in power for a while it becomes harder to stay there. You can look at other reasons for why the Tories were routed in 1997, and they exist, but the bottom line is that the longer you are in power the more people blame you for the wrongs of the world.
(Blair being a so called “war monger” is a poor reason because he actually won an election in 2005 and had left the scene by 2010. Arguably Brown might have won if he’d called an election at the right time).
The only thing is: it’s arguably a very different Tory party and govt now. But the name is the same (much as I’m sure they’d love to rename themselves the Brexit Party: if only someone hadn’t beaten them to it :-) )